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The Future of K-1 MAX and the Loss of Masato

With the K-1 MAX Finals complete and Giorgio Petrosyan now sitting firmly atop the ladder, the focus for MAX now firmly shifts to the retirement of Masato. Since the inception of the MAX division in 2002, Masato has been the clear top representative for the division, winning the first ever MAX event in Japan along with the Grand Prix in 2003 and 2008. Masato provided the template for the top MAX stars - a combination of high-level skill, fast-paced action, and good looks. And he rode those attributes to great heights of popularity, drawing in the coveted casual fan base that is the bread and butter of all Japanese combat sports. With his retirement eminent, the question on everyone's mind is clear: how will MAX do once their poster child is gone?

This weekend we saw some answer to this question in the form of ratings. The finals drew a 10.7% rating. While not a break-out number, this is a solid base that are obviously willing to tune in without Masato competing. For reference, Masato's last fight with Tatsuya Kawajiri drew a 19.8%. While a drop of half the audience is nothing to be ignored, this is by no means uncommon in the fight game. Look at the UFC where buyrates for big shows featuring names like Brock Lesnar hover near 1,000,000 buys, while shows without the marquee names are viewed as successful when they earn 400,000 buys. So the drop off is not a disaster, nor is the final 10.7 number. (For a disastrous number, look no further than K-1's sibling organization DREAM which drew a 1.7% for DREAM.12)

The danger about this drop off though is that this is not a "Franklin v. Wanderlei" level show - this is the MAX Finals, which featured essentially every top name the company has. What this tells us is that right now, MAX has no Brock Lesnar. They have no single name that is going to draw that huge crowd. The good news is, with a solid fan base behind them, they can build that star to replace Masato. The bad news is, Masato was so good at the putting together the components of the perfect MAX fighter that filling in after him is almost impossible. Years ago, Kohi looked to be the man to take that spot, but that time has clearly passed. There was a hope for Kido or Nagashima, but neither look to have the skills to make it there. At this point, there are perhaps four names that could take up Masato's mantle:

Yoshihiro Sato - Sato looked primed for this spot last year, but his recent record has raised questions. He's on the road to recovery, but undoubtedly did some real harm to his spot.

Yuya Yamamoto - He was defeated handily in the semi-finals, but if he works hard and improves, he has the personality and charisma to reach that wide audience. Honestly, he may have the best shot, but he has a ways to go before he can be at the skill level of the top MAX fighters.

HINATA - An outside shot, and one who obviously is nowhere near that level yet, but is improving.

HIROYA - For quite some time, it's obvious that this is MAX's choice for the next Masato. But as his graduation from the Youth division grows nearer, it's looking less and less likely. In a way it's a shame - because of the undue pressure on him, HIROYA won't have a chance to build up slowly in his early career. The expectation is that he must be a major star the moment he comes of age, and this just is not going to happen. Could he be a big star down the road? Very possibly. But I would say you are looking at 5 years from now, and that's a long time to wait.

Of course, there is a 5th option, which is the rise of a top name who does not fit the Masato mold. But this is not the kind of thing the company has much control over. A fighter will connect with the fans, or he won't, and no amount of forcing the issue will win fans over - an important lesson for K-1 to learn.

So far MAX, the upcoming year becomes a game of wait and see. We know they can survive without Masato - that they still have fans without his presence. But to continue to thrive he will need to be replaced. And until that happens - we wait.

0 recs  |  Comment 9 comments |

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You obviously meant Hiroya – but still felt like pointing that out. :P HAYATO’s fighting career is over by the way, he made the right decision after being involved in some of the most brutal career shortening K-1 MAX fights over the past 3 years.

As for Hiroya, the fan backlash is already in play. It’s surprisingly really not that negative, although some might say indifference is even worse. It’s obvious the Koushien circuit isn’t going to work when all Hiroya has to do to win is show up. The fight quality overall isn’t anything to write home about. And obviously he’s nowhere near the level of the fighters competing in Krush, let alone the best fighter of his age group as was already proven by Yudai and Urabe.

Sato will be alright, he’ll always struggle under K-1’s (lack of a) judging and rules system but he has the potential to beat any of the top dogs. Beating the likes of Schneidmiller, Direkci, Mes and of course an elite MAX fighter in Buakaw says it all really.

Yuya’s simply not a contender at this weight, Petrosyan was indefinitely more skilled but Yuya is at his best at welterweight. In MAX he has to sacrifice any technical ability he might possess in favour of duking it out and keeping the pressure on his opponent. Now that’s part of his fighting DNA, but outside of the Sato bout in AJKF he’s never taken as much damage as he does in K-1 MAX.

As of now they’ll have more luck finding potential stars in the lightweight division, because they’re already around. They’ll never reach Masato’s popularity, but he was something special. Although, historically Japan never had any trouble in producing capable fighters and champions at welter, super-welter and middleweight.

by Jillykins on Oct 29, 2009 7:53 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

HIROYA v. HAYATO

Well that’s embarrassing. Of course, you are correct. Fixed it. All this one word capitalized H fighters causing problems!

And yes, good for HAYATO to move along as he was going nowhere and took some beatings.

HeadKickLegend.com

by Fraser Coffeen on Oct 30, 2009 12:31 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks

Thanks for following us over here, Jillykins. We as always value the shit outta your comments.

Head Kick Legend
Twitter @HeadKickLegend

by D.W. on Oct 29, 2009 8:45 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I assume the talent pool would be an issue, but a North American GP might produce some more interest over here. I guess K1 tried to get things going over here before to no avail, was it a poor effort by K1 or the American networks?

The most popular MMA bouts are just bad kickboxing, I refuse to believe this sport couldn’t be huge in America if sold properly.

by omigawda on Oct 29, 2009 9:11 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Nobody will take a chance on it

I love HDNet and all, but HDNet is a rather obscure station. K-1 stopping the Vegas GP was due to bad live gates mostly, and that whole LA MMA show with Lesnar bombing.

I’m with you, though, most MMA bouts that people love are just bad kickboxing matches. I feel like if fans would give it a chance they’d love it, but who knows, right?

Head Kick Legend
Twitter @HeadKickLegend

by D.W. on Oct 29, 2009 9:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

K1will never draw a considerable fanbase in the US. even among my friends who watch mma and know what muay thai is…..virtually NONE of them have heard of K-1 max…maybe a couple have seen K-1 highlights and stuff on youtube…but as for having watched an event, or looking up results/individual fights online…..almost none.

Gatti. Dekkers. Pele. Aoki. Kang. Vanderlei.
http://theworldsoldestsport.blogspot.com/

by theworldsoldestsport on Oct 30, 2009 3:04 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Absolutely a part of the challenge

Is saying “dudes watch this, it rules!” and getting indifference.

Head Kick Legend
Twitter @HeadKickLegend

by D.W. on Oct 30, 2009 4:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I have friends who like K-1 and MMA but they don’t actively follow it.

by Meshuggeth on Oct 30, 2009 5:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I find it hard to get into K1 because I dont know any of the fighters. I recently caught the K1 world gp fighters tournament with Overeem and Badr Hari and Manhoef but only because of Overeem, and Manhoef crossing into MMA so I know who they are. But I did really really like it. I went to the youtube channel and it is in Japenese mostly. Recently watched the K1 max world finals with HINATA and Drago and some other that I cant recall there names and I loved it. Just wish maybe the rounds were a bit longer and maybe more rounds. But still it was great. I am really happy this site came on so I can start to follow it.

by Dav11 on Nov 3, 2009 6:19 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

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